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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Robin, you say "When you manage to pay $1000 less in taxes, I estimate this has only a small effect of government spending, say less than $100."My intuition is that the effect on government spending is larger, as I suspect tax rates are limited more by voters' willingness to put up with taxes than by any limits on the desire to spend.Also, the claim "most of that spending pays for services most people value" seems misleading. I think it would be more accurate to say "most voters" rather than "most people". Spending money to restrict immigration is supported by a majority of voters, but if you expand the relevant group of people to include potential immigrants then it's unlikely a majority of that larger group would support the spending. Also, the political system creates few limits on the magnitude of harm that such spending imposes on potential immigrants, whereas the benefits of "good" spending are often limited by rent-seeking. So it might be that most spending produces results that are marginally more valuable than alternative uses of the money, but the harm done by the worst 5 percent of spending exceeds the benefits of the "good" spending.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

A tax loophole is a change in our behaviour or financial structures that the government has decided to reward by means of reduced tax.

If government is good and wise, then we are doing the right thing to follow the behaviour the government is trying to encourage.

If government is stupid or corrupt then we are doing the right thing to minimise the money they have to spend on stupidity or corruption.

Have I missed anything?

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