Again, here is a place to discuss Overcoming Bias topics that have not appeared in recent posts.
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By Robin Hanson · Hundreds of paid subscribers
This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.
Nick, what you're doing feels strongly like cheating, but I can't quite put my finger on how. If you're allowing a 15/16 probability that self-sampling *isn't even applied*, why not do the same thing in many-worlds?
Nick, I'll put my further replies to this on my anonymous blog, so as not to overrun overcomingbias with it.