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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

"And what does that say about how much economic theory influences economists' policy conclusions?"It says that this kind of economic reasoning is very plastic and can be twisted to support a wide range of conclusions, and generally will be used to support whatever is most expedient for the author. When you read these papers, you need to be wary of every step.One trick which is often used is for the author to mention a few assumptions explicitly. This is done in order to distract you from all the other assumptions they are implicitly making but not mentioning.For example, let's suppose there is an emasculation factor e which causes disutility to the man and increases as his wife's wage rises. That could change the conclusion of the paper, but I don't see this factor in any of the equations.Or, assume there is a p(a|acw) (propability of adultery occuring given presence of attractive co-worker) that increases as a function of market participation rate. I don't see that in the equations either.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

It seems the problem is the statistical definition of "endowment." Endowment is a causal concept, it refers to things that 'cause good fortune.' Presumably we ought to spend the research effort into figuring out direct causes of good fortune, rather than wasting time taxing wealth correlates which may or may not have a causal basis.

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