Overcoming Bias

Overcoming Bias

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Lava Killed Neanderthals
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Lava Killed Neanderthals

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Robin Hanson
Oct 01, 2010

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Lava Killed Neanderthals
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We have identified evidence that the disappearance of Neanderthals in the Caucasus coincides with a volcanic eruption at about 40,000 BP. …  The coeval volcanic eruptions (from a large Campanian Ignimbrite eruption to a smaller eruption in the Central Caucasus) … forced the fast and extreme climate deterioration (“volcanic winter”) of the Northern Hemisphere. … The most significant advantage of early modern humans over contemporary Neanderthals was geographic localization in the more southern parts of western Eurasia and Africa. … Major technological and social innovations [appeared] shortly after 40,000 BP. (more)

More evidence that disasters matter, and evolution can be pretty random.


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This is a blog on why we believe and do what we do, why we pretend otherwise, how we might do better, and what our descendants might do, if they don't all die.

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Tim Tyler's avatar
Tim Tyler
May 15, 2023

I don't think it is very controversial that disasters can do you in if you have a tiny population and are teetering on the brink of extinction.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter
May 15, 2023

Beaten to the nitpick!

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This is an excellent 2014 book on how men differ from women:
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Women As Worriers Who Exclude
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