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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

Scenario 1: Bob can be made better off without making any other person worse off. In the OP's view, this is a place where an economist, speaking as an economist, can comment.

Scenario 2: Bob can be made dramatically better off, but Tim will be mildly inconvenienced. In the OP's view, this is a place where an economist, speaking as an economist, cannot comment.

Why? The expertise needed to identify the latter situation is the same expertise needed to identify the former situation. And to the extent that Scenario 2 requires accepting certain normative premises that aren't implicit in the factual expertise of economics, well, Scenario 1 does the same thing.

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Overcoming Bias Commenter's avatar

I would actually disagree with the point about the estate tax. The biggest risk that you want would want birth position to hedge against is precisely who your parents are. Sure, exactly what sperm and egg combination produces you and when that happens matters, but those are less significant risks than the identity of your parents. If your parents are wealthy enough to be affected by the estate tax, then you don't need birth position insurance. In my argument, there is no way for parents to protect children from birth position risk, only to make being born as their child a more or less desirable outcome. True birth position insurance would benefit all children who are borne under conditions below some chosen threshold, at the expense of those born into positions above the threshold.

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