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Rohin Shah's avatar

One alternative hypothesis is that the insight only becomes widely known once it is said by a high-status individual, even if it was said previously by others. If this is true, then currently insiders may actually perceive that high-status individuals also routinely have insight, infer a causal relationship between insight and status, and so pursue insight. In that case, exposing the hypocrisy would not change the inferred incentives, though it would make their beliefs more accurate.

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Robin Hanson's avatar

The rate of insight production in the current system seems low enough that it can be explained as a random side effect, not at all selected for or intended.

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